Friday, January 22, 2010

Sound familiar? (Part II)

A new PPP poll released today finds President Obama, for the first time, trailing a potential 2012 GOP rival, Mike Huckabee, 45 to 44 percent. Following up on my post last night, let's put this in some perspective. From the Associated Press, November 27, 1982:

President Reagan is losing support from an important segment of working-class Democrats who helped him defeat Jimmy Carter two years ago, a Los Angeles Times poll says.

The survey, published in the paper's Saturday edition, found a large number of moderate Democrats who supported Reagan in 1980 are turning against him because they are losing faith in his economic program and oppose his cuts in social programs.The poll found that if a presidential election were held today between Reagan and Democratic Vice President Walter Mondale, Mondale would win by six percentage points.

The telephone poll of 1,475 adults between Nov. 14 and Nov. 18 found Mondale with 50 percent and Reagan with 44 percent, with 6 percent undecided. With a choice of Reagan or U.S. Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., those surveyed gave each man 46 percent, with the rest undecided. Paired off against Sen. John Glenn, D-Ohio, the president finished only slightly ahead --46 percent to 42 percent, with the rest undecided.

The survey found 58 percent of those interviewed believe the economy is in "bad" shape, with 20 percent terming the situation a "major depression." By a 2-1 ratio, those polled said they feel they are worse off personally because of Reagan's economic policies.

The unemployment rate in November '82 was 10.4 percent, 2.9 points higher than when Reagan took office. On Election Day '84, it was 7.8 percent. Currently, it is 10.0 percent, a rise of 2.8 points from when Obama took office.

Final results of the 1984 presidential election: Reagan-- 59 percent (525 electoral votes); Mondale -- 40 percent (13 electoral votes).

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